November / 2001
From The Editor

The law of the free lunch

My dad always told me there's no free lunch---a notion that seems relevant to electric utility deregulation.
The connection between utility restructuring and the quest to get something for nothing comes to mind with news that California reversed a key part of its deregulation experiment. In September the California Public Utility Commission suspended consumers' ability to choose their power provider.
It's not news that California's pioneering 1996 deregulation law blew up like a trick cigar, resulting in blackouts, a utility bankruptcy, and skyrocketing rates. But the decision to remove the central provision of restructuring marks a milestone that offers a few lessons.
California teaches us the huge complexity of the electric utility industry, and that tinkering with it can produce a high-stakes failure of an essential part of modern life. California proves Murphy's law, because whatever could go wrong, did, from the weather to the economy. And it shows that even a state legislature can't repeal the laws of physics, which govern how electricity flows, or the laws of supply and demand, which rule how people buy and sell electricity.
One law of physics holds that energy can't be created or destroyed---if things change, it just moves around. That law rules other parts of life as well. Politicians understand that change tends to rearrange rather than create---when they analyze a proposal they ask: who wins and who loses?
That's an especially fitting question for utility restructuring.
In California, electricity brokers and speculators won, making huge amounts of money while utilities and their customers suffered. Utility restructuring could have different tradeoffs in other states: rates could go down for large industry and increase for homeowners, or you might get better rates but worse service.
The point is, there are tradeoffs. Waving the magic wand of competition won't lower prices and raise quality. Somewhere, somehow, you end up paying for your lunch.
That's not to say there can't be improvements. Twenty-four states had begun the process of adopting some form of utility restructuring. Some of those have now backed away after seeing what happened in California. Others are moving ahead, saying they will avoid those mistakes. Those states may well find a better balance of benefits among everyone affected by electricity, but they won't create something out of nothing.
Nearly four years ago Kentucky decided to let other states pursue the free lunch. In 1998 the legislature agreed we should wait to see how restructuring works in other states before jumping into it ourselves. Now we have the lowest rates in the nation. It pays to obey the law of the free lunch.

Paul Wesslund
Editor